According to @StockMKTNewz, over the last 98 years the S&P 500 finished higher in 72 of 98 years (73.5%) and lower in 26 (26.5%), with 18 years of gains above 30% and 5 years of declines worse than 30%, based on their year-end return bins. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 3, 2026. Based on these counts, rallies of 20% or more occurred in 36 years (36.7%) while drawdowns of 20% or more occurred in 6 years (6.1%), providing traders with base rates to size annual equity beta and calibrate tail-risk hedges. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 3, 2026. For crypto, the IMF has documented that BTC and broader crypto have moved more in sync with equities since 2020, so a constructive S&P 500 regime can coincide with stronger risk appetite for BTC and ETH in cross-asset positioning. Source: International Monetary Fund blog by Tobias Adrian, Tara Iyer, and Mahvash S. Qureshi, Jan 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, among the top 50 largest U.S. stocks, 10 year average annual returns are led by Nvidia (NVDA) up 72.8 percent, Broadcom (AVGO) up 44.6 percent, Apple (AAPL) up 26.4 percent, Microsoft (MSFT) up 26.3 percent, Alphabet (GOOGL) up 23.7 percent, Amazon (AMZN) up 21.1 percent, and Meta (META) up 19.7 percent (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 27, 2025). For crypto traders, leadership by AI and mega cap tech is a relevant risk gauge because co movement between BTC and U.S. equities has been documented to strengthen in certain regimes and moderate in others (sources: IMF, Crypto Prices Move with Stocks, Jan 2022; Kaiko Research, 2024).

According to @52kskew, S&P 500 E-mini futures ($ES) are showing an after-hours bounce, with BTC bouncing alongside equities in a macro-driven move. Source: X post by @52kskew on Nov 18, 2025. He adds that lower volatility and reduced USD demand tend to support relief rallies in risk assets. Source: X post by @52kskew on Nov 18, 2025. Conversely, sustained volatility and persistent USD demand indicate risk-off conditions where bounces are typically sold. Source: X post by @52kskew on Nov 18, 2025.